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   Wave59 for a year - 95% accurate on SPY

 There are 83 replies to this message.  There are 20 replies on this page.

P: 9/20/2009 10:26:24 PM
SimonB

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Total Posts: 486
Last Post: 9/8/2010
Member Since: 9/23/2008

Hey HD,

I believe that "g" did give you his TC ID, Look at the end of his last post:

" sir xxxxxxx, tc
  gfish, w59      "

Best,

Simon  Barbier

Revisions : 0   |    Posted:  9/20/2009 10:26:24 PM    |    IP:  Recorded    |    Report this post
P: 9/21/2009 8:00:25 AM
murphy

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Total Posts: 150
Last Post: 7/20/2010
Member Since: 11/12/2005

There is a recurrent theme lately on the wave59 bulletin board.
New posters appear out of nowhere,they then proceed to fish.If they dont get precisely what they were looking for straight away they then proceed to act like the bull in the china shop throwing their weight around,slapping people in the face with their ego's,use provocative language and show disrespect and arrogance to other members which is totally uncalled for.They then usually disappear like a puff of smoke never to be heard from again!
There are all kinds of traders on this board from total beginners to some that excel and stand head and shoulders above but all interactions are respectful and made with a spirit of learning and growing, both as traders and of kindred spirits.
It is irrelevant if a trader makes 300,700 or 10000 a day,what is obvious is that no amount of money can buy good manners,or maybe my favorite irish saying is more apt.
'You can dress a pig in a suit but he'll never stop grunting'!!

peter

View Revisions : 1   |    Posted:  9/21/2009 8:00:25 AM    |    IP:  Recorded    |    Report this post
P: 9/21/2009 8:06:45 AM
murphy

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Total Posts: 150
Last Post: 7/20/2010
Member Since: 11/12/2005

A possible freudian slip.I used the term fish as in 'proceed to fish for information' not as in 'proceed to gfish' although the way thing are going both interpretions could be correct.

peter

Revisions : 0   |    Posted:  9/21/2009 8:06:45 AM    |    IP:  Recorded    |    Report this post
P: 9/21/2009 8:35:12 AM
shwh

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Total Posts: 203
Last Post: 8/27/2010
Member Since: 4/17/2005

well said Peter!

sean

Revisions : 0   |    Posted:  9/21/2009 8:35:12 AM    |    IP:  Recorded    |    Report this post
P: 9/21/2009 11:15:59 AM
microrose

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Total Posts: 44
Last Post: 8/12/2010
Member Since: 6/27/2008

A long time ago I spoke to a professional trader that was selling a service.  I asked him why if this works so well do you need this service?  He said for some reason as good a trader as you can become, it's very difficult to make more than $500 a day, so he started the service to make additional money.

I agree it is not proper etiquette to mention dollar numbers, but there are a lot of people trying to see if they can make a living trading.  So how much you can make daily is relevant to those people.  At the time I thought $500 would be a huge task.  Today, I'm not having any difficulty with that at all.  The key is consistency.  I know last week I quoted $3700, the previous week I did $4700.  Sometimes I actually get $15k weeks, it's rare though.  But my advice to people is to start small.  There are numerous tricks beyond these two programs that need to be understood in order to become consistent.

Like many I've spent thousands trying every program that claimed it's easy to make money with their system.  The good news is after all the perseverance I come down to two programs that work:  Wave59 and Telechart.

So to all newbies, since no one ever talks about it, a really good trader usually only makes the $500 a day on average.  You will find over time, they are not any smarter than you and the game is the same for everyone.  With proper technique you can do even better than they do.

Murphy, as far as manners go, one that exults the principle needs to be careful they don't fall into the same trap.

Harleydude

Revisions : 0   |    Posted:  9/21/2009 11:15:59 AM    |    IP:  Recorded    |    Report this post
P: 9/21/2009 12:43:34 PM
nebuchadnezzar

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Total Posts: 140
Last Post: 6/28/2010
Member Since: 8/7/2007


Harleydude, lets blame the Merc Rx on this whole thing and declare ceasefire, before it keeps on degenerating into uglier exchange.

first of all, its very nice of you to offer to share your method. but I must admit you went about it in a rather odd way. and that created the possibility that the people who you talked to didnt follow up with the rest of us the way you had intended.

also, its within your rights to declare war on g but remember he stepped in only to defend the people he has known for quite some time. g has made tremendous contributions to wave59 and is clearly one of the intellectual leaders of this board. nobody doubts g's motives (or Blackjet's) here as there is a long history of sincere contribution, you can check the current thread on ES template.

i'm hoping we can put all this behind and get back to trading and research...

Revisions : 0   |    Posted:  9/21/2009 12:43:34 PM    |    IP:  Recorded    |    Report this post
P: 9/21/2009 7:59:59 PM
microrose

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Total Posts: 44
Last Post: 8/12/2010
Member Since: 6/27/2008

Good enough Neb...  A well written reply.  Odd, maybe - since I'm so busy, I was trying to get it done the fastest way.  Obviously like you said, it did not work out that way.  Emails were not received, etc.

I'll have to check out that template thread.  Sure would like to know his ID on TCnet.  There are no Sir xxxxxxx knights that I've seen. 

I'll have to come up with something clever and get myself knighted, maybe Sir Harelydude.  Today the SPY offset was -80 and worked just fine.

Harleydude

Revisions : 0   |    Posted:  9/21/2009 7:59:59 PM    |    IP:  Recorded    |    Report this post
P: 11/7/2009 5:09:36 PM
microrose

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Total Posts: 44
Last Post: 8/12/2010
Member Since: 6/27/2008

Just back to harass everyone, since my last post I discovered a powerful enhancement to the natal that gave me even more confidence when predicting.  FYI: Last thursday I predicted the spy would close at 107.00, missed by .15, but still a 2% move - Friday I was off .03 on my spy prediction.  Everyone, the information is right in front of you, look at the videos that are free.  Later dudes.

Harleydude

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P: 11/9/2009 4:27:50 PM
microrose

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Total Posts: 44
Last Post: 8/12/2010
Member Since: 6/27/2008

Won't keep you in limbo - use the harmonics, it really helps.  Later dudes.

Harleydude

Revisions : 0   |    Posted:  11/9/2009 4:27:50 PM    |    IP:  Recorded    |    Report this post
P: 12/27/2009 9:05:09 AM
microrose

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Total Posts: 44
Last Post: 8/12/2010
Member Since: 6/27/2008

Merry Christmas:  Discovered another interesting way to look at Astro patterns.  Create a 15min chart, show 5 days worth of data and add two future trading days.  So basically you set your chart to six days viewable showing 5days of data and the next trading day. Adjust the chart to the last known offset.  This view adds a new dimension to the natal.  You will notice the individual stock does not change from normal to inverted as often as you would think.  I started using this method after EOD to get a better idea of which pattern the stock will follow the next day, most of the time even though it does not look like it did, it followed the same pattern.
It also gives you a better look at what I like to call natal cycles.

Happy Holidays!

Harleydude

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P: 2/22/2010 8:32:40 PM
microrose

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Total Posts: 44
Last Post: 8/12/2010
Member Since: 6/27/2008

Been a couple of months, but I keep improving.  Uncheck gapless, there are benefits there that you won't see when checked.  I'm starting to set my day at 5am pacific and lining it up with that time to get better results.  I discovered another trick, but I'm still investigating how accurate it is. 

Today 2/22/10 before the market opened I predicted the spy close at 111.03, missed by .13 depending on who's site you look at.  Harmonics are really helping me a lot.

Also, go ahead an add a week into the future.

Later Dudes.

Harleydude

Revisions : 0   |    Posted:  2/22/2010 8:32:40 PM    |    IP:  Recorded    |    Report this post
P: 2/23/2010 7:23:17 AM
law6

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Total Posts: 136
Last Post: 9/3/2010
Member Since: 12/5/2009

Looking forward to getting to the  precision  you have accomplished !!


Congrats
law6

law

View Revisions : 1   |    Posted:  2/23/2010 7:23:17 AM    |    IP:  Recorded    |    Report this post
P: 2/28/2010 2:19:25 PM
microrose

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Total Posts: 44
Last Post: 8/12/2010
Member Since: 6/27/2008

Friday I estimated spy close at 110.97, if it was not for that spike down I would have been a lot closer.
Estimate posted before the market opened.  It's not easy to do, takes my about 10 minutes and I'm not
always this close.  For super accuracy you really need the 30/60 minutes of data after the market opens.
I'm still trying to perfect getting around this obstacle on waiting, because I have to post my EOD price
before 9:30am eastern time.
 
I thought an image would help - FYI - NEWBIES - inserting stuff like this only works with Microsoft IE.
The harmonics always do something to price direction, normally I would just look at the peaks, but the
extreme troughs also change things.  I always assume the natal pattern is stronger than the harmonics.
This graph is a good example of that, notice the largest peak changing the direction, then you had the next
peak in the way, it slopped around a little and continued up.
 
I use yahoo/finance date, new york, offset was -80 for this one, gapless unchecked, pretty much defaults.
I did add a week or two into the future.  I find the 5 minutes works the best.
   
 
/idealbb/files/HarleydudeSPY5min0226101.jpg

Harleydude

Revisions : 0   |    Posted:  2/28/2010 2:19:25 PM    |    IP:  Recorded    |    Report this post
P: 2/28/2010 9:51:53 PM
wave6165

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Last Post: 3/1/2010
Member Since: 2/28/2010

Hi Harleydude:

what would really help would be a repeat of the '30 days in a row accuracy' you mentioned you showed at the tcnet. here with this new thing natal forecast you have been working on. just post your chart here with its forecast for all of us to see and learn for at least a week. would much appreciate it. you know that would be real simple and elegant way to do it. thanks

wave6165

Revisions : 0   |    Posted:  2/28/2010 9:51:53 PM    |    IP:  Recorded    |    Report this post
P: 3/5/2010 5:47:09 PM
microrose

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Total Posts: 44
Last Post: 8/12/2010
Member Since: 6/27/2008

Hi Wave6165,

I'm not trying to sell anything, but I do make use of this thread for people I refer to Wave59.  One thing you must understand, predicting the EOD before the open is very difficult.  If you read this thread, to achieve a closer number you need 30/60 minutes of trading.  I do this for fun and at the same time maybe I'm trying to perfect it possibly.

I'll give you this week only, because honestly I don't have to prove myself to anyone. I probably spend more time on this stuff than most people.

SPY:  MY GUESS - CLOSE#

3/5  113.36    114.25    (I compete with 12 people, I was the highest # today)
3/4  112.63    112.64
3/3  112.06    112.30
3/2  112.11    112.20
3/1  110.95    111.89    (it happens)

Don't recommend anyone trying make money on premarket open guesses.  I'm only
doing it for fun, mainly to try to calculate which patterns will be followed.
I'm getting better at it, but I'm not 100% yet.

Later Dudes.

Harleydude

Revisions : 0   |    Posted:  3/5/2010 5:47:09 PM    |    IP:  Recorded    |    Report this post
P: 3/14/2010 6:19:41 PM
microrose

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Total Posts: 44
Last Post: 8/12/2010
Member Since: 6/27/2008

Just to clarify and recap this thread.
1. Using the natal is not as easy as a normal indicator, it takes a lot of work. I can spend 5% of my day adjusting and tweaking.
2. 95% accurate, is on the turns I do post - it's not every turn, just the ones I am confident in.
3. Basics: I use the yahoo/finance born on date for all stocks, you can find it under historical data and it called start date.
4. I for the most part, still load a few days into the future, no weekends and make sure I see 1-2hrs in view from the previous day.
5. I use all default natal settings, except for the born on date.
6. Pre-market and the first 30/60min do not tell you the right pattern it will follow - you may start seeing it after 30min of normal trading.
7. I use technical indicators 50% of the time or when I'm not confident in the natal.
8. Offsets:  This is the key - if you don't have the right offset it throws all the days in the future off.  I can spend a great deal of time making sure it's correct.
9. Offset, when you are sure of the right offset - leave it for the next day and adjust after you see 30/60min of trade - you may be adjusting several times.
10. Offset, if you can't get it to match, you have it set wrong - it always matches.
11. Skewing, sometimes the price is following the pattern, but the buy/sell pressure is greater than normal and could appear to be not following, but it is.
12. Harmonics - Suggest watching the astro video carefully.  It shows peaks and valleys - the peaks and valley cause something to happen to the price trend.
13. Harmonics - Since you know it affects price, you can use to adjust your natal patterns, since they do move 10-20min normally a day.
14. Harmonics - Assume the natal pattern is stronger than the harmonic peaks and troughs.  I've seen a bump in price only for it to return to the natal pattern.
15. Other stocks - Use another stock to help align the SPY, I use GE, TZA and QID.   Just like indicators, the more the better to verify your offset.
16. Profit - I have survived with this for almost 15 months full time and have no normal job.
17. Simple - NO - it takes work - nothing is perfect, I use it when it's to my advantage.
18. Other indicators, I use only the indicators from using Wave59, the first book for about $40.
19. I am a member of TCnet, because honestly they have a chat room and it's not like Yahoo where they all lie to you pretty much.  There is much sharing on the technical side.
20. SPY EOD forecast:  Still trying to figure trend before the day starts, but in my chat group on TCnet - there are 12-15 veteran traders that compete for the lucky number.  I won Jan, Feb and I'm number one for March. Go figure.
21. I plan to use natal forever the way it's working for me presently.  I'm constantly thinking of new ideas and trying to solve patterns outside the intraday action.
22. LASTLY - use this forum to ask questions.  I'm not on very often, but check probably once a week.
Later Dudes!
 

Harleydude

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P: 3/14/2010 6:25:36 PM
microrose

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Total Posts: 44
Last Post: 8/12/2010
Member Since: 6/27/2008

Sorry, forgot one thing - OFFSETS - I assume the normal offset can range from -120 to 120.
I have seen it get as high as 240 in either direction.
 
My rule of thumb, if I see a stock with a 120 number, I'm going to work on readjusting the
number to a 2-digit.  Most stocks I track only have a 2-digit offset.
 
So, use that as a possible alarm when it moves over 120min in either direction.
 
I still only use New York for all stocks.
 
Later Dudes!

Harleydude

Revisions : 0   |    Posted:  3/14/2010 6:25:36 PM    |    IP:  Recorded    |    Report this post
P: 3/21/2010 9:24:34 PM
microrose

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Last Post: 8/12/2010
Member Since: 6/27/2008

I've been experimenting - the original is still the best.  Check gap less is back on.  Remember Monday's are the hardest to set.  I have been able to see the trend finally for the next day, once Monday is set.  On several stocks, you need to just slide the bar over and see what color it ended up with.  So far I've only had one that did not work, TZA - go figure

Additional, just in case I did not mention it.  If you are not sure - set it to zero offset.  Always start from scratch.  Sometimes what I do is go back two days and if the color follows the next day, even in premarket I have more confidence.  I always have my charts set to include the 1.5hrs of premarket.

Test it and see what you think.  Take any stock - position the previous day at premarket time, then slide the bar to see where the price really matched the trend.  If you guessed right, it should continue the next day on the same color. I'm guessing, let's call it 95% it will follow for awhile, maybe only in premarket, but use the slide and see if there are any intersections on regular and inverted.

I use to think premarket was not important, but I'm going to test that, maybe it works there too - from what I'm seeing.

When you start from scratch add 60min, then -60, then +120, then -120.
If it does not look right, do this.  There will be days that don't make
any sense for some reason.  I will usually wait for another.

Not all stocks will make no sense, even if one does not.  Use those to compensate for the one that does not.  Use a stock that universal, like GE.

Later Dudes.

Harleydude

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P: 6/5/2010 5:19:00 PM
microrose

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Total Posts: 44
Last Post: 8/12/2010
Member Since: 6/27/2008

Still perfecting and it's been awhile.  Hope this stuff helps someone.

The reason for this post, with this wacky market I've been spending a great deal of time trying to get the right alignment.  A year ago, did not seem necessary.  So, I've been working a routine that has cut my alignment time (adjust minutes) by way more than half. The idea is to use three confirming alignments, so here's how I do it.

By the way, still like this, but it can be challenging on these huge swing days.

1.  As mentioned earlier in this thread, set to 5min, 1.5 days viewable.
2.  1st Alignment check is right at the open: 9:30am eastern - eye ball this and adjust  as necessary.
3.  2nd Alignment, set the chart to 2pm the previous day and adjust.  At this point if the two are fairly close, you probably are aligned right.
4.  3rd Alignment, more of a double check - When you have your chart aligned to 2pm the previous day (meaning, that's all you can see on the left edge of chart) - do a page right - then check alignment again.

Step #4 - This really helps more with the next day for some reason.

Also as you trade, after you get about 4hrs into the day, do the page right - you would be surprised what you see on an inversion cross or even a pattern.

I've actually noticed that a pattern that looks down at 2pm adjusted, will show up on the page right.

Between these three checks - you should come a lot closer and faster.  You will also notice with this technique you don't get these huge numbers on the minute adjustment.  I'm finding where I normally always added minutes, I'm actually subtracting just as much.  It seems to keep the chart in alignment much easier - and - you have three checks basically to verify it.  If those three checks don't work - you are off on your minutes.

I'm still using the harmonic peaks to help alignment, but you will notice a peak does not necessarily mean the price goes up there, it can be down - might be the cycle - still trying to figure that out.

Another tip, for the most part if you read the natal right - the next day it continues on the same pattern I'd say 90% of the time.  It could be 100%, but I'm still working on that too.

When I start the day, I pretty much leave it at the 2pm on the left - If you see price switching and you can't explain it - slide the chart right or left to see why - almost all the time ( I'm guessing 99%) it is explained by doing this.

I'm be back for another post, as I discover/perfect.  I still use New York for everything, default everything pretty much.
Also keep in mind like I mentioned earlier in this thread 1st 30 to even 90min sometimes, is not reliable.  Almost the same near end of day.  As this market settles down, those times decrease. 


Later Dudes!

Harleydude

Revisions : 0   |    Posted:  6/5/2010 5:19:00 PM    |    IP:  Recorded    |    Report this post
P: 6/9/2010 6:55:15 PM
microrose

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Total Posts: 44
Last Post: 8/12/2010
Member Since: 6/27/2008

I'm a little early, but I'm really liking this new line up procedure.  Seems to take more out of the guess work.

You dudes out there let me know if you see the same thing.

Example: 6/9 (don't usually like to forecast the next day, But)

I think we dip till 10am 1st then rise, ELSE THE opposite will happen.
My thoughts are the 1st.

Harleydude

Revisions : 0   |    Posted:  6/9/2010 6:55:15 PM    |    IP:  Recorded    |    Report this post

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